Archive for the ‘media and entertainment’ category

Time Warner Completes Cable Spin-Off, Sets Stage For AOL Split Next

March 17th, 2009

Time Warner (TWX) has long been a media conglomerate difficult for investors to dissect. However, that may be about to change and the moves could finally extract some value for Time Warner shareholders. The company will complete its spin-off of Time Warner Cable at the end of the month, which offloads billions of debt to the cable company and frees up cash flow at TWX.

Time Warner is also making some moves at its AOL division. AOL has hired Tim Armstrong, formerly the head of U.S. sales at Google, as its new CEO. The conventional wisdom is that Time Warner will spin off AOL as well, in order to allow Armstrong to maximize profit and growth potential at the online unit.

All of this should be good news for Time Warner shareholders, whose stock has been cut in half over the last year and sits near its lows. Time Warner retains some very strong brands, including HBO. With less debt from the cable division, coupled with a $9 billion cash infusion from the spin-off and a new strong management team at AOL, investors might finally begin to look at the stock again in the intermediate term.

As a result, bargain hunters who prefer strong large cap companies might be interested in checking out TWX shares at $8 each. Not only do they sit near their lows, but they yield 3% and trade for less than 5 times trailing cash flow.

Full Disclosure: No position in TWX at the time of writing, but positions may change at any time

CNBC Documentary by David Faber, “House of Cards,” Is Worth Your Time

February 23rd, 2009

One of CNBC’s finest, David Faber, recently completed a two hour documentary about the housing bubble and the credit crisis. I had the chance to watch it on Sunday and it is very well done. For those of you who are interested in how the combination of mortgage brokers, Wall Street, and consumers led to the dire financial predicament we find ourselves in right now. Faber really hits on all of the major culprits and explains them well along with his superb guests.

CNBC replays House of Cards in prime time during the week and over the weekends. According to my Comcast program guide, the next airing is Wednesday from 8-10pm ET but check your local listings and set your VCR or Tivo.

With Consumers Paring Back, Netflix Business Gets Stronger

January 27th, 2009

If people are looking to cut back on discretionary spending, the Netflix (NFLX) mail order DVD service can obviously help. Rather than spending $30 at a theater for a couple to see a movie and order some snacks, a Netflix subscription can cost half that for an entire month. Not surprising, fourth quarter sales and earnings at Netflix (reported last night) were very impressive and the stock is soaring today, trading up near $35 per share.

Despite being relatively recession-proof, Netflix stock at current levels doesn’t get me very excited from a value standpoint. One can certainly justify a 2009 P/E north of 20, as it is today, but as a value investor that is not cheap enough for me to get overly excited, despite the strong business fundamentals. I will, however, continue to make good use of my Netflix subscription, and I highly recommend it.

Full Disclosure: No position in Netflix at the time of writing, but positions may change at any time